Insights

Distributions

Distributions and Data Generating Processes
distributions
statistics
inference
philosophy
You have count data. Maybe it’s the number of customer support tickets received each hour, the number of errors logged per deployment, or the number of goals scored per…
Stefan Schreiber
May 8, 2026

Bayesian Prediction

Understanding Bayesian Predictions
bayesian
prediction
inference
So you’ve just fit your first Bayesian model using brms or rstanarm. Maybe you were surprised by how easy it was – the syntax looked almost exactly like lm() for a simple…
Stefan Schreiber
Nov 5, 2025

Francis Galton

Understanding Bayesian Inference: Linear Regression
bayesian
inference
regression
In our previous post, we explored the foundations of Bayesian inference through a simple example: estimating germination rates from seed trials. We learned how to specify…
Stefan Schreiber
Oct 27, 2025

When in doubt, just update your beliefs. ;P

Understanding Bayesian Inference: Foundations
frequentist
inference
bayesian
Imagine you’re a medical researcher evaluating a new drug. Before seeing any patient data, you already have some knowledge: similar drugs showed modest effects, basic…
Stefan Schreiber
Oct 20, 2025

When in doubt, repeat the experiment forever.

Understanding Frequentist Inference
frequentist
inference
bayesian
Imagine a pharmaceutical company testing a new drug on 50 patients. The average improvement is promising, but is this evidence of a real effect, or could it have happened by…
Stefan Schreiber
Oct 12, 2025

The Power of Evidence Synthesis
evidence-synthesis
systematic-review
meta-analysis

Bridging Gaps Between Research and Practice

Sanja Schreiber
Apr 10, 2024
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